Wednesday, September 25, 2013

Government Shutdown

The government is not going to shutdown.  The end.

Ok I'm kidding, that's not the end.


Seriously it's not shutting down though.  I can pretty much guarantee it.  The stop gap measure that includes defunding Obamacare (because voting on it 40+ times hasn't worked yet in the house so they have to do something different I guess, kudos for at least trying) will be re-written by democrats to take that out and the new measure will pass.  Multiple republicans have agreed to signing a new one, and many people in congress say let's talk about Obamacare later (which possibly could've been the real motive to having defunding Obamacare in there).  Ted Cruz threatened to filibuster the democratic version of the stop gap bill.  That's why people are running with a government shutdown. But he's already backing away from that, I think it's unlikely he will.

It's not going to happen.  Really.  Just like it hasn't happened any other time.  It's a complete bluff designed to do exactly what it's doing, get everyone worked up and pissed off at whichever side (dem or rep) they oppose.  Because that's politics now, one side wins by making the other look as bad as they possibly can instead of winning by simply being good or better than the other side. Le sigh.

The threat of the government actually shutting down is extremely effective in getting people's attention and spinning things to hurt the opposing side.  In actuality it would be extremely effective in getting every congressperson voted out of office.  Politicians are in the business of getting re-elected, they aren't going to jeopardize that. They aren't going to go through with something so big unless there is serious political gain.  There is zero political gain in shutting the government down.

Even if the government did shut down, the outrage would be so severe and so immediate that it would be up and running within a week.  Perhaps that would be better, then the people would realize they have the power and if they are loud enough, DC will make it happen.


Now let's all watch them pretend to be heroes and save the day at the last minute.



Edit: Cruz is indeed speaking in a marathon manner on Obamacare but it's not a filibuster.

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